Mastering 'Metrics: The Path from Cause to Effect

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Mastering 'Metrics: The Path from Cause to Effect

Mastering 'Metrics: The Path from Cause to Effect

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The five most valuable econometric methods, or what the authors call the Furious Five—random assignment, regression, instrumental variables, regression discontinuity designs, and differences in differences—are illustrated through well-crafted real-world examples (vetted for awesomeness by Kung Fu Panda’s Jade Palace). Does health insurance make you healthier? Randomized experiments provide answers. Are expensive private colleges and selective public high schools better than more pedestrian institutions? Regression analysis and a regression discontinuity design reveal the surprising truth. When private banks teeter, and depositors take their money and run, should central banks step in to save them? Differences-in-differences analysis of a Depression-era banking crisis offers a response. Could arresting O. J. Simpson have saved his ex-wife’s life? Instrumental variables methods instruct law enforcement authorities in how best to respond to domestic abuse. Posing several well-chosen empirical questions in social science, Mastering 'Metrics develops methods to provide the answers and applies them to interesting datasets. This book will motivate beginning students to understand econometrics, with an appreciation of its strengths and limits."—Gary Chamberlain, Harvard University Written by true 'masters of 'metrics,' this book is perfect for those who wish to study this important subject. Using real-world examples and only elementary statistics, Angrist and Pischke convey the central methods of causal inference with clarity and wit."—Hal Varian, chief economist at Google The positives of this book are instantly revealed to those who are working on this topic, so for them I am not going to comment much. But to those who want to understand what most economists do these days and what are their methods - I think this book is a neat introduction. But the IV chapter was better in terms of the details whereas RDD chapter isn't as heavy on those details. So the detailing level has to be consistent. Further there is a need to link the discussions. Suddenly a topic is completed and another section starts with a new topic. This to me seems disconnected and you don't really get the flow in the argument while reading the book.

Economists view data scientists as regression monkeys (probably the worst insult you can give someone in economics). When they look at data science they just see extremely elaborate efforts at curve fitting. Since economists don't think curve fitting is all that interesting or useful for doing economics, they scoff at neural networks and boosting. Imagine their horror when they see data science moving into their territory. Focusing on five econometric tools, Mastering 'Metrics presents key econometric concepts. Any field that uses statistical techniques to conduct causal inference will find this book useful."—Melvyn Weeks, University of Cambridge Hamermesh, DS (2013), “Six Decades of Top Economics Publishing: Who and How?”, Journal of Economic Literature, 162-172.

Corrections

Wooldridge, JM (2012), Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, South-Western Cengage Learning. Endnotes Data scientists, on the other hand, don't often think about economics at all. From their perspective the two disciplines have basically no overlap. So they struggle to see why they should care about what an economist has to say about anything. This is primarily driven by the popular misperception of economics being about business questions. Imagine their frustration when economists start telling them that their results are wrong. First, the content. Mastering 'Metrics does a pretty good job of covering the intuition (and some of the math) behind random assignment, regression, instrumental variables, regression discontinuity designs, and difference in differences. I think their treatment of these topics would be most useful to someone who was trying to read modern applied econometrics (or political science). Ideally the reader would have taken enough statistics that they can focus on trying to grasp the concept of potential outcomes rather than trying to work through the algebra. The methods that are covered are extremely important in social science and so having an idea of what they do and why we use them is helpful. So i have almost reached halfway chapter 4 where RDD is being discussed. I found the chapters imbalanced. Like the IV chapter was very heavy and was not a smoother flow like the other ones. I would be hard pressed to name another econometrics book that can be read for enjoyment yet provides useful quantitative insights."— Financial Analysts Journal

This valuable book connects the dots between mathematical formulas, statistical methods, and real-world policy analysis. Reading it is like overhearing a conversation between two grumpy old men who happen to be economists—and I mean this in the best way possible."—Andrew Gelman, Columbia University Angrist, JD, and J-S Pischke (2015), Mastering Metrics: The Path from Cause to Effect, Princeton University Press. Another relevant factor with the book is that the passages do not lead you to read on - rather they are too academic! If the intention is for a wider audience and for a more diversified crowd, then the importance of leading readers onto the next issues is of supreme importance. For eg: they are discussing an issue and then the next issue comes up as a next section. There is no sense of direction as to why am I reading about an issue and where do the connections matter - in terms of comprehending the entire topic, the reader is left on his own.

Endnotes

In terms of the chapters itself, I think they are very topical and will cover a lot of the modern research; the book pulls away from a fundamental issue - no matter what the methods are, the thought of comparison and counterfactuals is not emphasized enough I feel. Consider a standard econometrics textbook - say Wooldridge - it actually draws a framework where you know - no matter what the empirical problem is, you need to think in terms of identification, endogeneity and the underlying logic of counter-factuals. They certainly bring in a lot of that - where they talk about apples-to-apples comparison; but the emphasis is not approached as a general method of empirical analysis and the book can go far if that is emphasized. Thus in terms of binding the various methods - (a) a comparison and (b) a generalized empirical strategy might help get the econometrics logic through to a wider audience. The five most valuable econometric methods, or what the authors call the Furious Five--random assignment, regression, instrumental variables, regression discontinuity designs, and differences in differences--are illustrated through well-crafted real-world examples (vetted for awesomeness by Kung Fu Panda's Jade Palace). Does health insurance make you healthier? Randomized experiments provide answers. Are expensive private colleges and selective public high schools better than more pedestrian institutions? Regression analysis and a regression discontinuity design reveal the surprising truth. When private banks teeter, and depositors take their money and run, should central banks step in to save them? Differences-in-differences analysis of a Depression-era banking crisis offers a response. Could arresting O. J. Simpson have saved his ex-wife's life? Instrumental variables methods instruct law enforcement authorities in how best to respond to domestic abuse. You have requested "on-the-fly" machine translation of selected content from our databases. This functionality is provided solely for your convenience and is in no way intended to replace human translation. Show full disclaimer Around five years ago, Joshua D. Angrist and Jörn-Steffen Pischke published their first joint book on econometrics tools for causal inference: Mostly harmless econometrics (2009). Although this book is excellent in many regards (e.g., more than 5000 quotes on Google Scholar), it was not as harmless as the title might suggest. Mastering 'Metrics: The path from cause to effect now fills this gap, as it is a truly nontechnical introduction.



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