Through her account of the hurricane unfolding, Otto reveals how attribution science works in real time, and determines that Harvey’s terrifying floods were three times more likely to occur due to human-induced climate change. Read more about the condition New: A new, unread, unused book in perfect condition with no missing or damaged pages. We’ve known this for a very long time, with experiments confirming the greenhouse effect conducted by a largely ignored scientist, Eunice Newton Foote, as early as 1856 and fully quantified by Svante Arrhenius 40 years later.

If campaigners can point at every storm or flood as evidence of a changing climate, sceptics can point at every snowfall and cold snap to claim the opposite. A pioneering scientist solves a pressing climate question: Can we pin the blame for individual extreme weather events on humans? Attribution science is a complex idea, and perhaps if Otto did detail the process I would not understand it. Das ist wissenschaftstheoretisch extrem spannend, aber Wissenschaftsjournalismus bedeutet hier leider dumbing down bis zur Unverständlichkeit. Waking up late, eating blueberry crepes, watching movies with my family and having something delicious for dinner that I didn’t cook!So, climate attribution science – the ability to pin man-made climate change on particular extreme weather events – is a complete game-changer. In a previous era when smoking and lung cancer cases first began to appear in the courts, the tobacco companies would use the defence that nobody could be sure if this or that particular case was due to smoking or would have happened anyway. Fascynująca, a jednocześnie przerażająca to lektura, kiedy podążając za niemiecką badaczką, weźmiemy pod uwagę tendencję do zaprzeczania przez polityków i przestawicieli wielkich koncernów jakoby człowiek miał realny wpływ na pogodę.

Dr Fredi Otto is the Acting Director of the Environmental Change institute and an Associate Professor in the Global Climate Science Programme where she leads several projects understanding the impacts of man-made climate change on natural and social systems with a particular focus on Africa and India. But of course, if a hurricane develops and threatens thousands of coastal residents, nobody will be interested in large-scale averages. Was sollen wir mit der Info anfangen, dass irgendeine Dürre in Ostafrika auch ohne Klimawandel wahrscheinlich gewesen wäre? Most purchases from business sellers are protected by the Consumer Contract Regulations 2013 which give you the right to cancel the purchase within 14 days after the day you receive the item. The influence my native country has on me works from the deepness of my heart in the forms of memories, the love for my family and from the land.

When I started in metal construction, the first things I made were weather-related pieces of jewellery and this is when I developed my first collection. Angry Weather introduces us to the forensic scientists of climate change; if you like to watch CSI, you'll be equally enthralled with the skill and speed these folks exhibit. Wer einen Überblick zum Potential der Extremwetterereignis-Attributions-Forschung erhalten möchte, dabei noch eine spannende Sidestory zum Hurrikan Harvey und allerlei aus der Geschichte der Wetter-, Klima- und Klimawandelforschung lesen möchte, bekommt hier genau das.

But they then work in real-time to attribute the increased risk to climate change, not peer reviewing those works until later. I hadn't heard of attribution science before reading this book but the author did a good job of explaining it and its benefits on a very basic level.

Otto is also a co-investigator on the international project World Weather Attribution, which assesses the human influence on extreme weather and has been profiled in the New York Times, Nature, and others. It might sound trivial, but—as we know from every good thriller—it’s not that easy to reconstruct an event.